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Can we still make the top 8?

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  • #31
    Originally posted by Lydon View Post
    The only positive if we miss out on the 8 is the hierarchy will start looking closely at the under performers and hopefully start weeding them out of the Club!
    I'd like to think the club is already moving to rid itself of the deadwood. Not just players but the whole of the coaching staff should be put on notice.

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    • #32
      Perhaps next year, nightmare run home so its a no in 2023 from me.......
      Originally posted by Bondi Boy

      Pathetic!
      What a rabble we are.

      Oh well, maybe next year

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      • #33
        Unfortunately I just can't see us making it, this year has a 2016 smell about it. Winning becomes a habit, so is loosing.

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        • #34
          Originally posted by Bates View Post
          I think so. Part of me hasn't given up on this season.
          extremely unlikely. I think we’d need to win 8 of 11 or thereabouts. Currently we barely look like beating anybody.

          Frankly I think maybe missing the 8 would be for the best. The team needs a reset and scraping into the 8 would probably just be kicking the can down the road

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          • #35
            Definitely not, and I don't think we've hit rock bottom yet.

            Until the coach admits there's a problem we might finish bottom 4.

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            • #36
              We are no chance. Based on what Robbo has dished up with team selections this year, our trash for & against and current injuries.

              I’m at peace with it now and tbh I don’t wanna play finals unless we are legit contenders. This was meant to be one of those years, albeit here we are.

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              • #37
                I think we will just sneak into the top 8
                Souths in fourth are on 18 points and we are twelfth on 16 points, the comp is very tight this season but our minus 90 is a worry.

                Even though I'm expecting us to make it I don't expect us to get past the first week of the finals.

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                • #38
                  Originally posted by Bates View Post

                  Could you potentially replace "disgraceful" for mutiny?
                  Their may be mutiny happening within at the moment.

                  Born and bred in the eastern suburbs.

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                  • #39
                    Originally posted by Batemans Bay Rooster View Post

                    If we win the required number of games the points for and against deficit will have sorted itself out.
                    This isn't true.

                    The Sharks, Warriors, Raiders, Sea Eagles, Eels, Titans & Dolphins will all need to win a similar number of games as us to finish in the top 8 which means they will naturally also get a boost to their points differential.

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                    • #40
                      Originally posted by Rooster_6 View Post

                      This isn't true.

                      The Sharks, Warriors, Raiders, Sea Eagles, Eels, Titans & Dolphins will all need to win a similar number of games as us to finish in the top 8 which means they will naturally also get a boost to their points differential.
                      But not all those 7 teams will win the required numbers of games required to even be in contention. The teams that drop out will be the ones who got beat more often, and those point losses will benefit the teams who do win the required number of games. Can you seriously not see that.

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                      • #41
                        Originally posted by Batemans Bay Rooster View Post

                        But not all those 7 teams will win the required numbers of games required to even be in contention. The teams that drop out will be the ones who got beat more often, and those point losses will benefit the teams who do win the required number of games. Can you seriously not see that.
                        The teams who do not win the required number of games to be in contention for the 8 become irrelevant.

                        Lets hypothetically say its between us and the Eels (a side who have a healthy points differntial and are currently running 9th).

                        We are both currently on 16 points as it stand and we both need to win 7 of our remaining games + a bye which would take us both to 32 points each.

                        As it stands the Eels are on +74, we are on -90. For arguments sake let's say the 4 loses we each have are all by 1point. So they are +70 and we are -94.

                        If the Eels win those 7 games by an average margin of 2 points per game. They improve their differential to +84.

                        If we win our 7 games by an average margin of 20 points (18pts more per game than the Eels every game) we will finish on a differential of +32 still way off the Eels.

                        The other teams in front of us fighting for the 8 need to win almost as many games as us so any benefit you think we will get from winning games will be the same beenfit they get.

                        We are so behind on differntial to some of the serious contenders for bottom 8 positions it's not funny.

                        We would need 3 or 4 games where we are putting on 50+ points and hoping that the sides in front of us get belted a couple of times.

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                        • #42
                          It’s still really close but like others have said our for and against is an issue.
                          TBH I’ll be happy to see an improved performance with high effort and energy for the remainder of the year, which is something we have lacked so far TY.

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                          • #43
                            I love to dream though, imagine we string it together and smash a couple of teams by 40 2 weeks in a row! That would help the +/-.
                            Oh to dream!

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                            • #44
                              Originally posted by Billy Gunn View Post
                              Definitely not, and I don't think we've hit rock bottom yet.

                              Until the coach admits there's a problem we might finish bottom 4.
                              I’ve said it before and I will say it again You are definitely not a silly Billy
                              I respect all our moderators here. Past present and even future. Always have done and always will do a wonderful job.

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                              • #45
                                I reckon if we will need to win 7 of the remaining 11 games plus the bye to maybe squeak into 8th place on 32 points, depending on other results. We have some hard games in that 11 rounds playing Melb, Souths, Broncos, Raiders, Eagles x2, Eels, Titans, Knights, Dolphins & Tigers. My gut tells me we will win a few of those games, 4 or 5 at best, but won’t come close any of the first 5 teams I mentioned. I hope I’m proved totally wrong and it all just falls into place from this week onwards.

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