Tweet
Guys, I've had a lot of requests Jack, what happened? What are we gonna do?
Well, I can't answer those questions conclusively, just give some observations. Yes it was a dark day for our country.
I wanted to first speak with everyone who voted in the election, and of course the candidates. So I have been rather busy.
They say the people get the government they deserve and we have ended up with a big majority to the Labor Party, something like possibly 90 seats in the Reps to possibly 40 odd to the Coalition. But unpack this a little. We have two of the lowest primarys for the major parties ever. Labor around 34 % I think to around 32% for the Libs. Labor still wins on that but with a much smaller margin that would bring the next election in 2028 to a winnable one for the Libs. However, currently we could be looking at another decade of Labor government federally. Why so? Remember 65% of Australians didn't vote for Albanese.
Preferences!! I said earlier in the year that preferences were going to be so important in this election. Under our unique compulsory, optional preferential voting system and the increase in minor parties/ independents they are even more so. The general mood was yes we want to show Labor we aren't happy, but the Libs aren't offering a better alternative in this campaign. So...we vote for someone else, preference Labor ahead of Libs and poof! You get this result. So...the face value enormity of Labors win was less an endorsement of how great they are, but moreso how the Libs were seen as not a viable option.
Commentators are going to town on what went wrong with the Libs campaign. If an election were held say late last year it could well have been a different result. But broadly they didn't do proper homework/preparation to run a decent campaign. And left Mr Dutton trying to put lippy on a pig with policy backflips, late announcements and costings. I won't say they buggered up the unlosable, but blew a real opportunity for change for Australia. I hope they don't react by thinking they need to lurch further to the left and copy Labor. That would be a grave error, imho.
Green shoots? 3 seats in Vic could see 2 Teals unseated to the Libs, and our little Palestine activist Adam Bandt losing his seat to Labor. The irony of that seat (Melbourne I think) is that Labor will rely on Libs preferences to unseat Bandt. We all know the real enemy
. Oh and Paulines girl could get a seat in the Senate at Jacqui Lambies expense...hope so. The Greens may not have a single seat in House of Reps. Yay!
And our fearless leader who couldn't get hold of President Trump and said he didn't even have a phone, now is all warm and fuzzy towards him. Weak, woke and sending us broke - doesn't change what's in his DNA...or missing.
Well, I can't answer those questions conclusively, just give some observations. Yes it was a dark day for our country.
I wanted to first speak with everyone who voted in the election, and of course the candidates. So I have been rather busy.
They say the people get the government they deserve and we have ended up with a big majority to the Labor Party, something like possibly 90 seats in the Reps to possibly 40 odd to the Coalition. But unpack this a little. We have two of the lowest primarys for the major parties ever. Labor around 34 % I think to around 32% for the Libs. Labor still wins on that but with a much smaller margin that would bring the next election in 2028 to a winnable one for the Libs. However, currently we could be looking at another decade of Labor government federally. Why so? Remember 65% of Australians didn't vote for Albanese.
Preferences!! I said earlier in the year that preferences were going to be so important in this election. Under our unique compulsory, optional preferential voting system and the increase in minor parties/ independents they are even more so. The general mood was yes we want to show Labor we aren't happy, but the Libs aren't offering a better alternative in this campaign. So...we vote for someone else, preference Labor ahead of Libs and poof! You get this result. So...the face value enormity of Labors win was less an endorsement of how great they are, but moreso how the Libs were seen as not a viable option.
Commentators are going to town on what went wrong with the Libs campaign. If an election were held say late last year it could well have been a different result. But broadly they didn't do proper homework/preparation to run a decent campaign. And left Mr Dutton trying to put lippy on a pig with policy backflips, late announcements and costings. I won't say they buggered up the unlosable, but blew a real opportunity for change for Australia. I hope they don't react by thinking they need to lurch further to the left and copy Labor. That would be a grave error, imho.
Green shoots? 3 seats in Vic could see 2 Teals unseated to the Libs, and our little Palestine activist Adam Bandt losing his seat to Labor. The irony of that seat (Melbourne I think) is that Labor will rely on Libs preferences to unseat Bandt. We all know the real enemy
. Oh and Paulines girl could get a seat in the Senate at Jacqui Lambies expense...hope so. The Greens may not have a single seat in House of Reps. Yay!And our fearless leader who couldn't get hold of President Trump and said he didn't even have a phone, now is all warm and fuzzy towards him. Weak, woke and sending us broke - doesn't change what's in his DNA...or missing.
Comment