The run to the finals

[milanja]

6 wins gets us to 32 points, which would probably guarantee a finals spot.

Tigers H
dragons A
sharks A
storm H
manly A
dolphins A
Dogs H
eels A
Storm A
souths H

i think we’ll finish on 30 points.

[dice]

8th spot could be as high as 34 or 35 points this year.

30 points is very pessimistic considering our draw.

[Vasco]

Penriff and the Dolphins are the teams that we need to keep out.

The Sharks are no certainties but their last four or five rounds are much easier on paper.

[MKCS]

You would expect us to beat Tigers, Dragons, Sharks, Manly, Dolphins, Eels and Souths which would be 34 points. Two games against the Storm and the game against the Dogs will trouble us.

[Rooster_6]

8th spot could be as high as 34 or 35 points this year.

30 points is very pessimistic considering our draw.

I thought so too but the season is actually playing out pretty similarly to previous years.

2023 Round 16 (8th spot on 18pts) - cut off for top 8 was 32pts
2024 Round 16 (8th spot on 18pts) - cut off for top 8 was 30pts
2025 Round 16 (8th spot on 17pts) -

[Batemans Bay Rooster]

30 points makes the 8 this year, maybe even 28 or 29

[Jacks Fur Coat]

30 points makes the 8 this year, maybe even 28 or 29

Yes with the evenness of the comp this year, you would expect a low cut off.

[Bates]

It's become a very exciting season! Our best game imo is good enough to win the comp and there's still loads of time for further improvement plus Sammy is due back shortly.

On the flip side, we're also capable of producing an absolute stinker.

Sit back and enjoy the ride as the future looks extremely bright!

[caz]

the tigers and dragons games aren't gimmes. we'll be without a lot of players for the tigers and our origin players will be backing up for the dragons game. in fact none of the games are gimmes, but nor are any of them unwinnable. personally i'd be surprised if we don't win one of the melbourne games.
hard to know what to expect from this team, but the boys are capable of giving it a shake.
a couple of weeks ago we were 2-1 to make the 8, now we're better than even money

[SupermanSupportsEasts4Eva]

You would expect us to beat Tigers, Dragons, Sharks, Manly, Dolphins, Eels and Souths which would be 34 points. Two games against the Storm and the game against the Dogs will trouble us.

My thoughts exactly

[dice]

I thought so too but the season is actually playing out pretty similarly to previous years.

2023 Round 16 (8th spot on 18pts) - cut off for top 8 was 32pts
2024 Round 16 (8th spot on 18pts) - cut off for top 8 was 30pts
2025 Round 16 (8th spot on 17pts) -

I was basing it on the possibility/probability that Dolphins capitalise on their easy draw, and the current 5-8 being more competitive than previous years.

Anyways, just a feeling that this year will surprise with the teams at bottom of the 8 starting to beat the teams in the top 4.

[Mickie Lane]

the tigers and dragons games aren't gimmes. we'll be without a lot of players for the tigers and our origin players will be backing up for the dragons game. in fact none of the games are gimmes, but nor are any of them unwinnable. personally i'd be surprised if we don't win one of the melbourne games.
hard to know what to expect from this team, but the boys are capable of giving it a shake.
a couple of weeks ago we were 2-1 to make the 8, now we're better than even money

Agree

[SamKerrSimp]

I've got us finishing on 32 factoring in a bye this week. One thing this team has done well in recent years under Robbo is they have come home strong with a wet sail and I expect this will continue, the younger boys have found their feet in first grade and appear more confident, the combinations are building with a settled squad, origin players will be back in the team and Sam Walker returns at some point after the break.

The way this season is going we are likely to lose to some easy team then come out and beat Melbourne and I think we will win one of the games against Melbourne I just have this feeling about them playing the top teams and I think we beat the Dogs in the return game.

[Thirteen]

In our expected 17 for Tigers game Tedesco and Tupou have 544 (61.19%) NRL games between them whilst the other 15 players will have a total of 345 (38.91%) games between them (Egan Butcher - 62, Makatoa - 60, Whyte - 46, Sandon Smith - 44, Billy Smith - 36 and Dockar-Clay - 32 the only ones with more than 17 matches). 9 of 17 eligible for this years Dally M Rookie of the Year.

[Rooster_6]

Thirteen pulling out the stats... what's going on.

The Tigers game definitely feels like a very crucial game if we can somehow manage to jag a win despite having 5 out to origin (Crichton, Leniu, Watson, Toia & Collins) and another 5 out to injury (Walker, Radley, Wong, NButcher & Pauga). Tigers only expected to be missing 1 which is Luai.