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Originally posted by Jacks Fur Coat
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Guys, I've had a lot of requests Jack, what happened? What are we gonna do?
Well, I can't answer those questions conclusively, just give some observations. Yes it was a dark day for our country.
I wanted to first speak with everyone who voted in the election, and of course the candidates. So I have been rather busy.
They say the people get the government they deserve and we have ended up with a big majority to the Labor Party, something like possibly 90 seats in the Reps to possibly 40 odd to the Coalition. But unpack this a little. We have two of the lowest primarys for the major parties ever. Labor around 34 % I think to around 32% for the Libs. Labor still wins on that but with a much smaller margin that would bring the next election in 2028 to a winnable one for the Libs. However, currently we could be looking at another decade of Labor government federally. Why so? Remember 65% of Australians didn't vote for Albanese.
Preferences!! I said earlier in the year that preferences were going to be so important in this election. Under our unique compulsory, optional preferential voting system and the increase in minor parties/ independents they are even more so. The general mood was yes we want to show Labor we aren't happy, but the Libs aren't offering a better alternative in this campaign. So...we vote for someone else, preference Labor ahead of Libs and poof! You get this result. So...the face value enormity of Labors win was less an endorsement of how great they are, but moreso how the Libs were seen as not a viable option.
Commentators are going to town on what went wrong with the Libs campaign. If an election were held say late last year it could well have been a different result. But broadly they didn't do proper homework/preparation to run a decent campaign. And left Mr Dutton trying to put lippy on a pig with policy backflips, late announcements and costings. I won't say they buggered up the unlosable, but blew a real opportunity for change for Australia. I hope they don't react by thinking they need to lurch further to the left and copy Labor. That would be a grave error, imho.
Green shoots? 3 seats in Vic could see 2 Teals unseated to the Libs, and our little Palestine activist Adam Bandt losing his seat to Labor. The irony of that seat (Melbourne I think) is that Labor will rely on Libs preferences to unseat Bandt. We all know the real enemy
. Oh and Paulines girl could get a seat in the Senate at Jacqui Lambies expense...hope so. The Greens may not have a single seat in House of Reps. Yay!
And our fearless leader who couldn't get hold of President Trump and said he didn't even have a phone, now is all warm and fuzzy towards him. Weak, woke and sending us broke - doesn't change what's in his DNA...or missing.
Well, I can't answer those questions conclusively, just give some observations. Yes it was a dark day for our country.
I wanted to first speak with everyone who voted in the election, and of course the candidates. So I have been rather busy.
They say the people get the government they deserve and we have ended up with a big majority to the Labor Party, something like possibly 90 seats in the Reps to possibly 40 odd to the Coalition. But unpack this a little. We have two of the lowest primarys for the major parties ever. Labor around 34 % I think to around 32% for the Libs. Labor still wins on that but with a much smaller margin that would bring the next election in 2028 to a winnable one for the Libs. However, currently we could be looking at another decade of Labor government federally. Why so? Remember 65% of Australians didn't vote for Albanese.
Preferences!! I said earlier in the year that preferences were going to be so important in this election. Under our unique compulsory, optional preferential voting system and the increase in minor parties/ independents they are even more so. The general mood was yes we want to show Labor we aren't happy, but the Libs aren't offering a better alternative in this campaign. So...we vote for someone else, preference Labor ahead of Libs and poof! You get this result. So...the face value enormity of Labors win was less an endorsement of how great they are, but moreso how the Libs were seen as not a viable option.
Commentators are going to town on what went wrong with the Libs campaign. If an election were held say late last year it could well have been a different result. But broadly they didn't do proper homework/preparation to run a decent campaign. And left Mr Dutton trying to put lippy on a pig with policy backflips, late announcements and costings. I won't say they buggered up the unlosable, but blew a real opportunity for change for Australia. I hope they don't react by thinking they need to lurch further to the left and copy Labor. That would be a grave error, imho.
Green shoots? 3 seats in Vic could see 2 Teals unseated to the Libs, and our little Palestine activist Adam Bandt losing his seat to Labor. The irony of that seat (Melbourne I think) is that Labor will rely on Libs preferences to unseat Bandt. We all know the real enemy
. Oh and Paulines girl could get a seat in the Senate at Jacqui Lambies expense...hope so. The Greens may not have a single seat in House of Reps. Yay!And our fearless leader who couldn't get hold of President Trump and said he didn't even have a phone, now is all warm and fuzzy towards him. Weak, woke and sending us broke - doesn't change what's in his DNA...or missing.
It wasn't a dark day for Australia. It was democracy at work-and working like it should.
The primary vote stands at 34.8% Labor to 32.2% to the Libs-and you point out the 2.6% difference isnt that much. In the US election Trump received 49.8% to Harris 48.3%- a difference of 1.5%- and you called it a "landslide victory." Preferences/Electoral college- we all have our systems- when it works in your favour its a good thing but when it doesnt then its no good? Were you outraged in 2016 when Hilary Clinton got almost almost 2.9 million votes more than Trump, with 65,844,954 (48.2%) to his 62,979,879 (46.1%)?
Speaking of DJT- had to laugh about his conversation with Albo and how Albo said many nice things about him and showed him respect. Trump made the phone call all about him. Seems like Albo worked out that feeding the ego of a narcissistic sociopath is the best means of getting their support.
Ill tell you who got it wrong for the Libs- Murray, Credlin, Bolt, Putarna Markson, Dean & Co....the whole lot of them.got it very wrong. 3 years of going on about non-significant crap like all the "crazy left" reporting, so called woke politics, then tops it off with Albo not being strong enough with China- all the American influenced shit that means nothing to the Australian voter. They got it all wrong but now blame Dutton because a outgoing politician is a easy target when you are playing the blame game. The irony is Dutton took off his political game day face for the concession speech and won over many people who saw a really good family man that valued the Australian way of life- instead of this almost arrogant strongman, tough talker who will bully to achieve his goals.
Albo is a centre left leader-its how he governed the last 3 years and its how he will govern the next 3 years-even with a majority government. He isn't going to be sending Australia broke-he isn't going to be attacking China nor making waves with the US and he isn't going to implement "crazy" far left policies or American style woke wars. Australia doesn't want any far left nor far right leaders.
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