Too much time on my hands, nothing else to do, and I am obviously looking for reasons to be positive about our chances .
So I did this exercise.
Based on each clubs last 5 games entering into the finals.
Melbourne 5 wins 181 to 74..........plus 107
Newcastle 5 wins 165 to 62..........plus 103
Roosters 5 wins 148 to 62..............plus 86
Broncos 4 wins one loss 167 to 84......... plus 83
Penrith 4 wins one loss 152 to 76.........plus 76
Cronulla 4 wins one loss 124 to 72........ plus 52
Warriors 4 wins one loss 115 to 102...... plus 13
Canberra 2 wins three losses 84 to 143...... minus 59
We have the equal best defence with newcastle
We have the 5th best attack.
Melbourne are in great form and should be favourites over the Broncos
Penrith should beat the warriors.
We should beat the Sharks
Newcastle should flog Canberra
Then..... we go to Brisbane coming off a win to play the Broncos coming off a loss.
We can win that, their young blokes might panic, so blot out Reynolds and we are a real chance.
Then we face Penrith.... thats the big one, we should be full of confidence after beating Brisbane.
They will be coming off a week off, it could work in our favor.
If we get to the big dance we will probably face Melbourne.
So I did this exercise.
Based on each clubs last 5 games entering into the finals.
Melbourne 5 wins 181 to 74..........plus 107
Newcastle 5 wins 165 to 62..........plus 103
Roosters 5 wins 148 to 62..............plus 86
Broncos 4 wins one loss 167 to 84......... plus 83
Penrith 4 wins one loss 152 to 76.........plus 76
Cronulla 4 wins one loss 124 to 72........ plus 52
Warriors 4 wins one loss 115 to 102...... plus 13
Canberra 2 wins three losses 84 to 143...... minus 59
We have the equal best defence with newcastle
We have the 5th best attack.
Melbourne are in great form and should be favourites over the Broncos
Penrith should beat the warriors.
We should beat the Sharks
Newcastle should flog Canberra
Then..... we go to Brisbane coming off a win to play the Broncos coming off a loss.
We can win that, their young blokes might panic, so blot out Reynolds and we are a real chance.
Then we face Penrith.... thats the big one, we should be full of confidence after beating Brisbane.
They will be coming off a week off, it could work in our favor.
If we get to the big dance we will probably face Melbourne.

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