With our season now precariously in the balance the reality is that a top 4 spot is pretty much a tough ask and even the top 8 is looking tough in some ways.
There are 7 games remaining as of today for the teams below us, so a possible 14 points up for grabs. We have 12 points up for grabs.
The threats will be teams 9-11 at this stage....
Manly on 12 points have a good draw but injuries are biting yet could easily win 4 or 5 from 7 ... this would put them on 20/22 points points...win all and they are on 26...which would then be our target (4 from 6)
Tigers on 10 have a tough draw and look like a possible 3 wins at max . which would not get them past us...only thing is they may get teams resting players in the last rounds...again I see them on 16-18 points
Warriors on 10 could jag 3 or 4 from their last games also...cant see anymore than this which would also have them at 18 points or 20 at max.
Both the tigers and Warriors could reach 24 points if they jag all wins....which would be our next target.... can't see it happening though
Below that you have the Titans and Dragons on 8 who would need a miracle but could finish on 22 at max but more likely 18 on a miraculous run (5 from 7 if that much)...
So, from the above, I am thinking 22 points is where we need to be to get in the 8 for sure...20 would see our for and against will get us through.....
Until Keary is back, I am struggling to find a win in the next few weeks against teams we should have been banking the point against... it's not easy to adjust to a new halves paring regardless especially with injuries mounting
I think we should focus on getting into the 8 then resting players....top 4 is pretty much going to be a miracle......lock in any spot 5 to 8 and have a 2 week rest before the finals assault where you need to win 4 in a row for the crown!!! Will be interesting to see what happens..
Def looking at a couple of those games we should have closed out coming back to bite now....at the same time some of the recent tough wins have been a blessing to compensate.
Last week I was doing the maths to close out a top 4 spot, today just skimming to make the 8......
There are 7 games remaining as of today for the teams below us, so a possible 14 points up for grabs. We have 12 points up for grabs.
The threats will be teams 9-11 at this stage....
Manly on 12 points have a good draw but injuries are biting yet could easily win 4 or 5 from 7 ... this would put them on 20/22 points points...win all and they are on 26...which would then be our target (4 from 6)
Tigers on 10 have a tough draw and look like a possible 3 wins at max . which would not get them past us...only thing is they may get teams resting players in the last rounds...again I see them on 16-18 points
Warriors on 10 could jag 3 or 4 from their last games also...cant see anymore than this which would also have them at 18 points or 20 at max.
Both the tigers and Warriors could reach 24 points if they jag all wins....which would be our next target.... can't see it happening though
Below that you have the Titans and Dragons on 8 who would need a miracle but could finish on 22 at max but more likely 18 on a miraculous run (5 from 7 if that much)...
So, from the above, I am thinking 22 points is where we need to be to get in the 8 for sure...20 would see our for and against will get us through.....
Until Keary is back, I am struggling to find a win in the next few weeks against teams we should have been banking the point against... it's not easy to adjust to a new halves paring regardless especially with injuries mounting
I think we should focus on getting into the 8 then resting players....top 4 is pretty much going to be a miracle......lock in any spot 5 to 8 and have a 2 week rest before the finals assault where you need to win 4 in a row for the crown!!! Will be interesting to see what happens..
Def looking at a couple of those games we should have closed out coming back to bite now....at the same time some of the recent tough wins have been a blessing to compensate.
Last week I was doing the maths to close out a top 4 spot, today just skimming to make the 8......

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